Perhaps it was the pressure of playing in their first home playoff game in nine years before a packed crowd. But the Orioles let Game 1 of their playoff series against the Rangers slip by in a 3-2 loss on Saturday. 

The Orioles have proven resilient all season. I see them bouncing back behind rookie pitcher Grayson Rodriguez against lefty Jordan Montgomery. 

Rodriguez, a high ceiling prospect, found his groove down the home stretch. He didn't allow more than two earned runs during any of his last six starts. Rodriguez was 2-0 with a 1.45 ERA in his last three starts. 

Texas finished the regular season with a losing road record. Baltimore was 49-32 at home.

The Orioles also were 36-17 versus lefty starters. No other team had more than 30 victories against southpaw starters. 

Montgomery has been pitching well, too. But he has a 3.72 day time ERA and the Orioles were in the top-10 in many offensive categories against lefties including, batting average, slugging percentage, on-base percentage and OPS. 

The Orioles were far-and-away the most profitable team for bettors this season. I have no qualms backing them at this low of a home lay price.