Maybe the Commanders get things turned around - although I have no confidence in Ron Rivera - but until there is evidence of that, they remain a team to fade. Washington has lost three in a row with the latest being, 40-20, to the previously winless Bears at home.

The Falcons not only are the better team, but they are home. It's Washington's first dome game of the season.

Atlanta is a top-12 rushing team with an emerging superstar running back in Bijan Robinson. The Commanders can't match that. They also can't protect Sam Howell. He's on pace to be sacked 99 times!

The Falcons' defense is much improved from last season ranking in the top-10, while the Commanders' defense has greatly regressed to the point of allowing 31 points a game, second-worst in the NFL.