I don't see where Western Michigan is double-digits better than Central Michigan even at home. I find this line out of whack.

Each team averages 29 points a game. Central Michigan gives up one more point per game than Western Michigan.

The Chippewas upset Toledo in overtime two games ago. Western Michigan just played Toledo last week and lost, 34-15.

Both teams have balanced attacks. I do give the Broncos an edge at the skill position spots with QB Kaleb Eleby, wide receiver Skyy Moore and running back La'darius Jefferson. Eleby is my starting QB on my Mid-American Conference fantasy team. (Yes I actually am in a MAC fantasy league, maybe the only one in the country.)

But the Broncos' edge in skill position talent is offset by turnovers. Western Michigan has turned the ball over twice as much as Central Michigan this season. The Broncos only have two takeaways, too, during their last four games.

Central Michigan has been outstanding in a 'dog role under Jim McElwain going 9-3 ATS during the last two plus seasons. The Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven MAC games.

This is a huge in-state rivalry game. The road team has dominated the point spread in this series covering eight of the past nine times.