Arkansas has been a point spread covering machine. The Razorbacks are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games. They have covered eight in a row. I'm going to ride them to beat Florida.

The Razorbacks draw Florida when the Gators are in a potential major letdown spot. Florida upset then No. 2 seed Auburn this past Saturday. This was the highest-ranked team Florida has beaten at home in its school history. Gator fans stormed the court following their team's 63-62 win.

Prior to that game, though, the Gators had failed to cover in their last five games. They also are 2-7 in Quad 1 victories.

Florida has two major flaws. The Gators rank 323rd in 3-point shooting and are 223rd in turnover ratio. Arkansas has the defense, depth and discipline to take advantage especially given the situation with Florida off such a monster win.