Do you trust the Maple Leafs now that it's Stanley Cup time? I sure don't.

The last time Toronto won a first-round series was 2004. They were upset in the first round by the Canadiens last season, blowing a 3-1 series lead. 
Tampa Bay has proven it knows how to step up having won the Stanley Cup each of the last two seasons. 

The teams just met on April 21. Tampa Bay blasted Toronto, 8-1, at home. The Maple Leafs were without Auston Matthews and No. 1 goalie Jack Campbell. Still, this was a 7-goal win for the Lightning. 

Tampa Bay has defeated the Maple Leafs seven of the last 10 times in Toronto. 

The Lightning hold a monster edge in net with Andrei Vasilevskiv against Campbell.