The Brewers broke out with 10 runs against the Mets on Wednesday. Look for Milwaukee to continue to swing hot bats. The Brewers draw a struggling Tylor Megill plus favorable hitting weather conditions with the wind blowing out to left at 16 mph. 

Megill is looking to regain his rhythm after being out nearly a month due to a biceps injury on his pitching arm. He has an 11.71 ERA and 2.10 WHIP during his last three starts giving up 13 earned runs and 21 base runners in just 10 innings during this span. Megill has a 5.00 ERA in two career starts versus the Brewers. 

The Mets average 5.2 runs at home. That would lead the league in scoring. The Mets are stepping way down in class going from Cy Young Award winner Corbin Burnes on Wednesday to a struggling Aaron Ashby, who is 0-2 with an 8.43 ERA in his last two starts. Ashby has pitched worse on the road with a 4.84 ERA and 1.69 WHIP. 

The Over has cashed eight of the last 10 times the Mets have been home.