Ottawa has covered during each of its last NINE visits to Montreal. That's a strong historical trend. But there is much more as to why I like the underdog Redblacks to cover if not win straight-up.

The Redblacks have covered four of their five road games this season. Montreal is a money-burner at home covering only four of its last 14 home contests.

Ottawa has a respectable defense. The Redblacks are giving up an average of 19.5 points in their last four games.

Montreal has won two in a row. But the Alouettes may have lost that winning momentum since they last played on Aug. 20. This is just their third game since Aug. 11. Their two victories in a row came by three in overtime and by one point.

The Alouettes have surrendered an average of 31.6 points in their last three home games. Ottawa looks like it has gotten its offense back on track with Nick Arubckle returning at quarterback. He helped spark the Redblacks to a 25-18 road upset victory against Edmonton as a short underdog in Ottawa's last game.

The Redblacks don't need to have a dominant offense to upset Montreal. They can accomplish this via ball-control with Arbuckle providing steady quarterback play and Devonte Williams running the ball. Williams is in line for a big game facing a Montreal defense that ranks second-to-last in run defense giving up 5.3 yards per carry on the ground and 10 rushing TD's.