A healthy Saquon Barkley has regained his superstar status. The Giants bend-but-don't-break defense is giving up the ninth-fewest points per game in the league. Brian Daboll is a strong coach of the year candidate. The result is the Giants are 7-2. 

Yet the Giants are only a field goal favorite against the Lions while playing at home with weather a factor. 

It's a bargain to back the home chalk. 

The Lions are drawing too much respect for the little two-game win streak they put together beating the Packers - the underachievers of the year - and nipping the defenseless Bears, 31-30, on the road last Sunday. 

Let's not forget the Lions are last in total defense and scoring defense. That means they have the worst defense in the NFL. They also rank second-to-last in run defense. Barkley leads the NFL in rushing. 

Daboll versus Dan Campbell is a monster mismatch. Before nipping the Bears, the Lions were 0-11-1 on the road under Campbell. 
The Giants are giving up 19.2 points a game. The Lions surrender 29.3 points a game. The Giants also have the league's second-ranked defense in the red zone. The Lions' top playmaker, D'Andre Swift, has done very little the past few weeks because of assorted injuries. The Lions no longer have T.J. Hockenson.

Jared Goff turns into Jared Goof when he has to play in cold weather instead of a temperature-controlled dome. The numbers on Goff in cold weather are an 18 point scoring average, 67 percent losses, a completion percentage under 50 percent and a turnover increase of nearly four times more than when the temperature is a non-factor. The Sunday forecast is for the temperature to be in the 30's with wind blowing at 15-20 mph. 

The last time the Lions won three in a row was 2017. Don't look for them to reach that mark here against the Giants.