Stephen Nover's NBA Sunday Big Ticket - 10-3-1 NBA Run
(NBA) LA Clippers vs. Phoenix,
Total: 225.00 | -103.00 Under
Result: Loss
Clippers at Suns Under 225

There are a lot of insane lines today, the last day of the NBA regular season. This looks like one of them with the road Clippers opening as double-digit favorites against the Suns.

But it makes sense considering the Clippers plan on playing their starters, while the Suns will be resting their best players.

Still, there could be some gamesmanship involved on the Clippers' end.

Here's the possible scenarios: If the Clippers beat the Suns they finish as the No. 5 seed in the West. That would mean a first-round matchup against - yep, you guessed it the Suns. So neither team will want to show much here.

However, if the Clippers lose, they likely would fall to the No. 6 seed and thus draw the Kings. Playing the Kings, with their playoff inexperience, would be easier than getting the Suns. So Tyronn Lue might be bluffing when he says he'll be playing his starters. He still could start them for appearance sake, but reduce their minutes, especially Kawhi Leonard.

Phoenix is locked into the No. 4 seed. Suns coach Monty Williams is expected to sit out Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton. The Suns don't have much firepower minus those stars.

Instead the big minutes on the Suns will go to Torrey Craig, Jock Landale and Josh Okogie.

So I'm going Under the total in anticipation of these expected developments, which I see as all favoring a lower-scoring game than the oddsmaker projects.