Rich Hill goes for Pittsburgh in this early start game. The 43-year-old lefty makes Nelson Cruz look like a youngster. Not only is Hill washed-up, but he's a slow starter. His fastball is down to 86 mph. Hill has a 10.00 ERA in two starts this season.

The Astros crush lefty pitcher. Houston has a huge bullpen edge and a starting pitching edge with Jose Urquidy, whose metrics show he's pitched better this season than his 3.86 ERA. The Pirates have never faced him.

So I'm not afraid to lay this road price with the Astros, especially after they blew a lead to the Astros yesterday.