Stephen Nover MLB Free Wednesday Play
(MLB) San Diego vs. Minnesota,
Total: 8.50 | 100.00 Under
Result: Win
The Padres' offense looks far better on paper than it does in the batter's box.

San Diego ranks 24th in runs and 23rd in batting average. The Padres have been a huge Under team this year at 18-7-1 (72 percent).

The Padres have permitted an average of just 2.5 runs in their last eight games. The Twins have scored six runs in their last four games. They've failed to score more than four runs in six of their last seven games. During this span, the Twins are batting .147.

I'm fine with the pitching matchup of Seth Lugo against Pablo Lopez. Lugo has been solid with a 3-2 record and 3.21 ERA. Lopez has a 3.77 ERA and excellent metrics that point to having had some tough luck.