PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's MLB Total of the Week - 78% MLB May Totals!
(MLB) Milwaukee vs. St. Louis,
Total: 8.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 8.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
On paper, it looks like the oddsmaker set a correct total with a pitching matchup of Freddy Peralta versus Jack Flaherty. But on closer inspection, that's not the case. The number is short.
The Brewers are averaging six runs per game in their last three games. Flaherty isn't nearly the pitcher he was a few years ago. He has a 6.18 ERA. His ERA is 12.75 in his last three starts. The Brewers rank in the top 10 in batting average and on-base percentage versus righthanders.
Peralta holds a 5.94 career ERA versus the Cardinals in 13 appearances that includes nine starts. St. Louis is swinging hot bats averaging 6.2 runs in its last 10 games.
The Over is 9-1-1 in the Cardinals' last 11 home games.
The Brewers are averaging six runs per game in their last three games. Flaherty isn't nearly the pitcher he was a few years ago. He has a 6.18 ERA. His ERA is 12.75 in his last three starts. The Brewers rank in the top 10 in batting average and on-base percentage versus righthanders.
Peralta holds a 5.94 career ERA versus the Cardinals in 13 appearances that includes nine starts. St. Louis is swinging hot bats averaging 6.2 runs in its last 10 games.
The Over is 9-1-1 in the Cardinals' last 11 home games.
