The momentum has shifted in this series with the Astros dealing the Rangers their first loss of the playoffs. I'm going to ride the Astros here as the underdog. 

Houston is 17-3 in its last 20 road games. The Astros especially like playing in Arlington. The Astros are 7-1 this year there against Texas, averaging 8.9 runs in those games.

This is an action play for me, but I do favor Houston, too, in a pitching matchup of Jose Urquidy versus lefty Andrew Heaney. Urquidy has a 1.74 ERA in his last three appearances. He has a 5-0 career mark versus the Rangers with a 2.82 ERA in seven starts. 

The Astros have very good numbers against lefthanded pitching, including No. 2 in the majors in slugging percentage and OPS and fifth in batting average.