Stephen Nover's CBB Saturday Top Ticket - 17-9 CBB Run!
(NCAAB) UNLV vs. Saint Mary's-California,
Point Spread: -6.00 | -108.00 Saint Mary's-California (Home)
Result: Loss
UNLV is in action for the first time since upsetting No. 8 ranked Creighton this past Wednesday. It was the Rebels' highest-ranked win since 2020. I'm looking for a Rebel letdown against this elite defensive foe in this neutral site tournament matchup in Phoenix.

Saint Mary's had a tough November, but has looked much better this month. The Gaels give up the eighth-fewest points in the country. They just defeated 13th-ranked Colorado State, 64-61, as 3 1/2-point road 'dogs. The Rams averaged 83.3 points. So the Gaels held them to 22 points below their season average.

Saint Mary's has held four of its last five foes to 63 or fewer points. The Rebels can't come close to matching that quality of defense.
UNLV is ranked 101st in the KenPom rankings. Saint Mary's is rated 62nd.

The gap is large enough and the situation ripe enough to lay this number with the Gaels.