Stephen Nover's MLB Monday Top Ticket - 37-21 (64%) MLB Run!
(MLB) Twins (MIN) vs. Cubs (CHC),
Money Line: 100.00 Cubs (CHC) (Home)
Result: Loss
The record shows the Twins to be 62-48. But they aren't nearly that good. They've feasted on four bad teams going 28-8 when playing the White Sox, A's, Angels and Tigers.

If you removed those 36 games, Minnesota would be 34-40 on the season, six games below .500.

The Cubs are four games below .500. They have won four of their last five games.

So I'm not buying the Twins opening as a road favorite against the Cubs in a pitching matchup of rookie David Festa against Kyle Hendrick.

Festa has pitched 19 1/3 innings. He has a 6.98 ERA. Festa has surrendered a whopping six homers in his 19 1/3 innings.

Hendricks is a tough sell, too, with a 6.86 ERA. But he's pitched better at Wrigley Field and he might avoid facing two of the Twins' four best hitters. Carlos Correa remains out and Byron Buxton is questionable.