Yes, North Texas has a bad defense although it won't be as bad as last season. But the Mean Green also averaged nearly 500 yards of offense, placing first in the American Athletic Conference in total offense.

South Alabama doesn't have a good defense either. QB Chandler Morris, a transfer from TCU, should keep North Texas' attack humming. Morris has accounted for 22 touchdowns, 2,433 yards passing and 400 yards rushing in his last 20 games when he played for Oklahoma and then TCU.

South Alabama has a first-year head coach, Major Applewhite, and is breaking in a new quarterback and lead running back. The Jaguars also don't have their leading wide receiver from last season.

So I'll take this many points with North Texas not knowing for sure if South Alabama can keep up with the Mean Green in the scoring column.