OK, so Michigan isn't going to win the national championship. The Wolverines are down from last year, but not down enough where they can't beat USC at home.

USC isn't top-ranked Texas.

I'm not sold on the Trojans just because they beat defensively-challenged LSU. USC happens to be 1-7 ATS the past eight times when laying points on the road against a ranked opponent.

The Wolverines can run the ball with Donovan Edwards and Kalel Mullings, two of the better running backs in the Big Ten. Michigan coach Sherrone Moore also made the right decision to make a quarterback change to Alex Orji, who can both run and pass.

USC ranked 117th in run defense last year and gave up an average of 4.5 yards rushing to LSU.