The Astros certainly won't lack incentive after losing to the Angels in blown-save fashion on Sunday and with a chance to clinch the AL West with a victory in this series.

Seattle will be motivated, too, being two games behind for a wild-card spot. The Mariners trail the Astros by five games in the AL West.

But I don't trust the Mariners on the road where they are 34-44 and I prefer Hunter Brown against Bryce Miller. I also like the Astros' bullpen better.

Miller is one of those Seattle pitchers who pitches much better at Seattle's pitcher-friendly park. He has 4.44 road ERA.

Brown is finishing the season strong giving up two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts. The Mariners are batting just .223, second-lowest in the majors.