Eliminated from the playoffs on Thursday when the Royals and Tigers both won, the Twins have little incentive so they should not be this high of a favorite.

The Orioles are a team that commands respect and their starter, Cade Povich, has looked better during his past two starts racking up 15 strikeouts during this span. Baltimore is 10 games above .500 on the road.

Minnesota is 3-7 in its last 10 games, batting just .219 in this time frame.

Twins starter Pablo Lopez got destroyed in his last start, giving up seven earned runs to the Red Sox in four innings.

Too much value here to pass on the Orioles.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is 52-33-2 on his last 87 premium/free plays and has his Run Line Game of the Month going today in addition to this free selection.)