Mississippi is getting too much respect here. The Rebels had an easy first four games, which has skewed their season-long numbers. They are 1-3 ATS during their past four games, which include upset losses to LSU and Kentucky and unimpressive non-cover against a down-in-the-dumps Oklahoma, 26-14, as a 19-point home favorite last week.

The Rebels are averaging just 21.5 points in their last four games.

Oh, yeah, the Rebels haven't won in Fayetteville in 16 years.

Only six teams have produced more yards per game than Arkansas. The Razorbacks have outgained foes by more than 133 yards per game as QB Taylen Green gets better each week.