David Price is pitching well and the Rays are playing well, but there is far too much value to pass up the Brewers at this price. Milwaukee is 29-23 on the road and 17-10 against southpaws.

Price could be distracted, too, by trade rumors swirling around him knowing this may be his final start for Tampa.

The Brewers have a strong offense and Yovani Gallardo is a quality starter with a 1-0 record and 1.37 ERA in his last three interleague road starts. He has a winning road record this season with a respectable 3.27 ERA. The Rays have never faced him.

Milwaukee is 10-3 in its last 13 games when plus 1 1/2 runs.