8* Sure Shot
(NCAAF) Arkansas vs. TCU,
Point Spread: -7.50 | -102.00 TCU (Home)
Result: Loss
Taking TCU here. I have said numerous times over the last couple years on my podcast what kind of lines get my attention, and why I bet them. Well, we have the ole 7.5 here. When I see this, I know that the fave is covering by double digits at half and wins going away. You have heard me say it a million times before. Oh, so and so is favored is favored by 6.5? There is no way the don't beat fill in blank by a touchdown. Same as oh, so and so is getting 7.5. Love that extra half point. When I see the half on 3 and 7, I am on the favorite 9 times out of 10. TCU is the better club. Yes, their defense wasn't good last week. But I think that was more of just playing down and going through the motions. Arkansas on the other had all types of trouble generating offense. Not shocking since they only have a few starters back. But this isn't your typical SEC power run team. TCU 14-3 ATS last 17 at home, one loss as 46pt faves! This is much better number to cover. Horned Frogs 7-3 ATS last 10 non-conference games while the Razorbacks log a 1-4 ATS during the same. Look for an improved defensive effort from TCU, and the offense to put up 40 here. 8* Sure Shot TCU HORNED FROGS