Going OVER the total here. Friers has given up 17 HRs already this year in just 42 innings. That is an epic pace! He has pitched to a better ERA at home, 3.50, than on the road, 6.38 - That being said, I think he still gives up 4-5 runs tonight. Not that I am huge sabermetrics type capper. I like my WHIP and BAA, but in the case of Friers, I have to note his extremely high FIP. It is off the charts bad. And let's not sell Verlander short. Clearly the mileage is taking its toll on his arm. He had a great year last year, but is slow out of the gate. He was limited the year before, so maybe we are seeing some arm fatigue early. We know that the Astros can hit. And giving free passes will help us get some more runs on the board tonight. Verlander is half-way home to last years walk total. Final thought at we toss in some Verlander road splits. How about 2-3 in 5 starts with an ERA of 7.24 - A 1.79 WHIP adds to my thinking we see a 5-5 game by the 4th. 5* Best Bet OVER Tigers/Astros