Taking the METS here. NY now 13-4 in Lugo's last 17 starts. They have are 9-0 with him on the hill vs teams with losing records. The 42-70 Phillies fit that bill and they have Pivetta and his 5+ ERA on the hill tonight. The Mets are 33-15 vs Philly since 2015. Granted. NYM had a bit better pitcher and they were a playoff team. This team has sold off pieces. But they still are a better unit than the young Phillies. At this price, we will grab the low hanging fruit and look for Lugo to improve on his poor road splits vs a weak hitting club. 4* Money Maker NY METS