The Fiesta Bowl play is on Arizona on the money line. Game 252 at 4:00 eastern. Arizona fits a powerful subset of a system we use that plays on money line short favorites vs an opponent that has a better overall record, Boise St is 11-2 this year but is 0-6 straight up as a dog the last few years and has failed to over the last 3 vs PAC 12 Teams. Arizona is 11-0 straight up vs Non conference teams and will look to get he bad taste of a Conference championship loss to Oregon out of their mouths. Teams with a win percentage of .700 or better that are dogs or favorites of less than 4 that lost their conference championship game but scored 7 or more points are 22-7 ats. Mountain West Conference teams like Boise have failed to cover 10 of 13 off a win in bowl games. Arizona wins this one.