The guaranteed NBA Western Conference Play is on Dallas. Game 550 at 8:05 eastern. The Mavs will look to bounce back after getting crushed here in game 3. Tonight should be a much lower scoring game with far better defense. As seen below road teams like OKC that are off a game 3 road win a prior game 2 home loss and Game 1 home win are 19-33 in all rounds in game 4. Game 4 teams off a loss of 23 or more are 18-4 ats. The Thunder are 1-7 ats on the road if they were on the road last out. Another system which has Not lost is to play on Non division home dogs or favs of 5 or less off 1 exact loss of 9 or more. These teams are 9-0 ats in game 4. The Mavs have covered 13 of 18 off a loss of 10 or more. Look for the Mavs to get the Cover.

For the Bonus total play the under as road team off a road win that shot 50% or higher cover at over 80% long term.