The NCAAB Tournament early play is on Gonzaga. Game 514 at 605 eastern. Gonzaga dodges a date with Arizona here and gets an 11 seeded Xavier team that stole the game late from Arizona and captured their 3rd straight dog win that sets them up ion a powerful play against system that applies to 10 or worse seeded teams at +10.5 or less that covered by 6 or more as a dog of 3 or more and they are of at least 4 straight spread wins. These teams are 2-26 ats the last 27 years. The Musketeers have failed to cover in 17 of their last 19 dog losses and may be out of gas . Elite 8 seeds that allowed 63 or less last out have been solid plays historically and Gonzaga is the best defense in this tournament heading into this week allowing just 36% shooting. They have covered 14 of 16 vs Big East teams. In this round teams that score 67 or less are 18-48 to the spread and Xavier may have a tough time scoring against a Gonzaga team that plays tough defense. Gonzaga has covered 15 of 20 vs teams that are .600 or better. Xavier is 0-3 ats in the 2nd half vs teams who allow less than 64 points per game. In the end the Bulldogs have too many weapons and should get the win and cover here.