ROB V: HIGHEST RATED SUPERBOWL 52 + BONUS PROPS
(NFL) Philadelphia vs. New England,
Point Spread: 4.50 | -105.00 Philadelphia (Away)
Result: Win
Super Bowl 52







The Super bowl side is on the Philadelphia Eagles plus the points. Game 101 at 6:35 eastern on NBC.




The Eagles and Pats match up here today and below is all the data that pertains to the selection in this game. Philly has covered 4 of 5 off a win of 14 or more and 8 of 10 off any spread win.




The Eagles are 4-1 ats as a dog of late and have the #2 defense in football with the rushing defense ranked number one. Defense is significant in the super Bowl and the pats defense is not ranked in the top half of the league. The Pats struggle with pass defense where they are ranked 30th overall. NO TEAM has EVER Won the SB with a pass defense ranked worse than league average. BTW the team with the BETTER overall Defense has won 43 of the 51 Super bowls




Dogs have been barking in the SB Covering 12 of the last 16 and they are on a 5-1 straight up run. In fact Teams off a Conference Championship Dog win like the Eagles are 9-0 ATS over the last 16 years.







The Zebra effect: Gene Steratore is working this game and Philly is 9-1 the last 10 times he has worked one of their games.







Planting the SEEDS: This super bowl pits a pair of teams that both are #1 seeds. When this happens the NFC has been the winner 6 of 8 times since 1984 and the Under dog is 4-0 in this role which is another solid indicator for the Eagles







Indicators: Some of the more solid Super bowl indicators that pin point the wining team is teams like the Eagles that have the better net yards per play. The Eagles are top 5 in points per game, Yards per game and the all important take ways or turnovers. Statistically they are the BEST team the patriots will have faced in their super bowl appearances.




Less is more: Teams who average less points per game are 13-2 to the spread. The Eagles have averaged slightly less than New England







THE QB/S: The obvious advantage here in Brady. Even with a partially injured hand he is still clearly better than Foles. However. Brady will face a much tougher defense and will have to throw since the Eagles run defense is the best. Philly will also put more rush pressure on Brady. Foles showed he can move the offense and plays well in this system. He has a plethora of weapons at Wide out and an explosive target at tight end. He also has a pair of horse in the back field in Ajai and Blount who will be playing against his former team. Brady led the league in passing thats good right? Not exactly. ALL TIME the team with the leading passer is 0-5 in Super bowl History







Series history: The dog has covered 5 of the last 6 times the Eagles and Patriots have played. Their last meeting was 2 years ago with the Eagles winning on the road




Simulations Model: The Simulation model, which has picked the winner in 10 of the last 14 super bowls has the Patriots with a slight win but has the Eagles covering the spread.







In Closing: Based on all the statistical data and the Super Bowl historical models we will take the points with the Eagles.







BONUS Prop Bets:




Eagles rushing touchdown: YES




Either team with 3 straight scores: YES this is on a 5-1 run in the SB




Total Sacks Combined OVER 3.5




The shortest TD UNDER 1.5 yards is 4-1 the last 5 years




Brady UNDER 289.5 Yards passing