The GUARANTEED College play is on Michigan St. Game 154 at 4:00 eastern. Michigan St has won and covered the last 2 games in this series by 33 and 49 points. They are a winning team in their last home game that has scored 7 or less point sin back to back games, vs an opponent off a spread win. BINGO that qualifies them in a massive system with a perfect subset. The Spartans will likely open this one up. They have covered 4 of 5 after scoring 20 or less and Rutgers played hard last week and kept it close vs Penn St at home. However they have nothing to play for here and they get outscored on the road by a 43-10 score. Sparty has a strong home defense that allows just 23 points and may not allow any here against this anemic Rutgers offense. Look for the host to move to 5-1 ats in this series.


The BONUS afternoon top play is on Illinois. Game 163 at 3;30 eastern. WHY? Why would we be on a team like the Illini that were shellacked by 63 in their last game? We are playing against Northwestern here today as we note that favorites that are off back to back dog wins where they allowed 14 or less in each of those wins are 1-18 to the spread since 1980 vs an opponent off a spread loss. Illinois will want to play much better here as they have 35 point home loss revenge and Northwestern is a dismal 2-14 ats as a double digit home favorite vs a team off a double digit loss. We are getting more points than we should here and NW could let down a bit as a favorite as their best role is mostly as a dog. Take the points