The AFC Championship play is on KC. Game 314 at 6:40 eastern. The Chiefs have a prolific offense with Mahomes at the helm and they should have no problem scoring 21 or more here tonight. Championship homers who score 21 or more are 29-3 straight up and 24-8 to the spread. Championship home teams that were playoff teams last year are on a 17-3 run and the last 10 home team have won overall. In game vs a 1 vs a 2 seed the 1 seed is on 9-2 run. The Patriots are on an 0-3 road run in conference championship games and what they do on offense will not be a surprise as they beat the Chiefs at home by 3 this year. In fact teams that are a dog or favorite of 6 or less are 5-15 to the spread off a playoff win where they allowed 28 or more. The Pats took advantage of a home bye last week and caught a western time zone team making a 2nd cross country trip in 2 weeks. This certainly had a big and negative impact on the Chargers who were out of it from the opening kick. The Pats wont have that type of advantage here. KC is a top 10 defense when playing at home where they have allowed 16 points combined the last 2 games and frustrated A. Luck and the Colts all day. They can get pressure on Brady with their potent front line. KC has more and plenty of speed on offense that thew Pats wont match. Home teams have excelled in these games when both team enter off home favored wins and covers scoring 30 or more last out. The Pats are a public dog here. However the Chiefs have been the better team all year. Play on KC.