The AFC Championship game play is on Buffalo Game 313 at 6:40 eastern. The Bills have the better defense than KC and had it not been for a hail mary final play loss a few weeks back would have a better record than KC. The Chiefs will have Mahomes but him mobility will likely be limited after the concussion protocol and the gimpy ankle. The Bills have home loss revenge and have covered 5 of 6 here in KC. They are on a 4-0 ats run as a dog. The Chiefs and coach Reid are better off the Bye then they are with regular rest and despite the solid record have struggled in several games this year. They are 1-7 ats off a win and have failed to cover the last 4 as a favorite. From the database we see that Teams in their 2nd playoff game that are off 1 win exact are 1-18 ats with a total that is more than 37. The Capper is that since 1990 #1 seeds that are favored by 3 or less are 1-6 straight up and 0-7 ats. Take the points with the Bills