The NBA Round 2 Game 1 Power system play is on Miami. Game 706 at 7:05 eastern. Miami fits a huge opening game system here tonight that plays on game 1 home teams that allowed less than 100 in at least their last 3 games and did not lose to the spread by 3 or more points in their last game. provided they are not favored by double digits and their opponent has a win percentage that is less than .561. These home teams are 16-1 to the spread. As seen below, heading into this years 2nd round home teams are a solid 140-44 straight up, good for 76%. Also of note is how poorly road teams do in game 1 of a new series if they are off a road dog win in their series deciding win, particularly vs an opponent that has 3 or more days rest like the Heat do. Miami took a lot of flack over their series sweep going 0-4 against Brooklyn, however 3 of the losses were by 1 points. This should be the easiest game for the Heat in the wholes series as they have had a week off and should be ready to roll with rest and quadruple revenge. The Nets are in tough spot here as teams who seep vs teams who went the distance have had a decided advantage historically. Brooklyn off the emotional last second win in Toronto may not have the same intensity and may wear down late against Miami. Brooklyn is 0-7 ats off a road dog win. Make it Miami tonight.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Playing Game 1 @ H:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team playing Game 1 @ H (Miami)has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2014 NHL and NBA Preliminary rounds:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 829-407 (.671)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 260-104 (.714)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 342-119 (.742)
series record, NBA only, Quarterfinals round: 144-40 (.783)
Game 1 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 830-406 (.672)
Game 1 record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 263-101 (.723)
Game 1 record, NBA only, all rounds: 339-122 (.735)
Game 1 record, NBA only, Quarterfinals round: 140-44 (.761)