This is a 10* MW TOM on the OVER UNLV/Boise State.

These teams play for the Mountain West title on Friday night and in my opinion, everything points to a higher-scoring shootout, rather than a lower-scoring defensive battle.

Boise State beat UNLV 29-24 on October 25th, and that game stayed UNDER the number of 63.5. Now the Championship Game total is more than a full field goals worth of points lower, and it's now way too low in my estimation.

Note that looking back that UNLV has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent.

I'm absolutely expecting another very competitive battle between these evenly matched sides, but everything points to the rematch easily eclipsing the posted number as the game comes down the stretch.

The play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP