This is a 10* MNF TOY on the UNDER Bengals/Cowboys.

As primarily a situational capper, these are exactly the types of contests that I'm constantly keeping my eyes open for.

5-7 Dallas will need a miracle to make the Playoffs, while 4-8 Cincinnati has been eliminated from contention.

Each has played to several higher-scoring games of late, but I say that the conditions are now definitely correct for more of a lower-scoring defensive battle.

These teams played here in 2022 and the Cowboys won 20-17. I expect a similar final combined score here as well.

Dallas has won two straight and is 5-7. The Cowboys haven't thrown in the towel yet. Note though that looking back finds Dallas having seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row.

I say the Bengals have run out of gas. Physically and mentally now they've checked out. Especially after last week's 44-38 home loss to division rival Pittsburgh. Joe threw his best shot, and it once again came up just short.

With nothing to play for here, and facing a non-conference opponent, the visitors could be caught just "going through the motions" in this one.

As stated off the top, for me being a "situational" capper at heart, this particular matchup ticks all the boxes as far as I'm concerned.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP