This is a 10* NON-CONG TOW on the UNDER USA/TCU.

I love the way this one sets up to be more of a defensive battle, rather than a night-scoring shootout.

Each side has played to several higher-scoring games to open the season, but I believe everything points to a much tighter battle here.

South Alabama is now 7-3 after three straight victories. The Jaguars have seen the total go OVER in three straight, but that's significant to ntoe as USA has in fact seen the total go UNDER in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row.

TCU is 5-4 after an 83-74 loss to Vanderbilt. The Horned Frogs have seen the total go OVER in three straight as well, but note that TCU has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 12 dating to last year after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row as well.

The level of competition has to be taken into account for each side when looking at their wins/losses. When South Alabam played Mississippi back in mid-November, it fell 64-54.

I'm predicting another lower-scoring competitive battle here vs. TCU.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP