This is a 10* MAC GOY on Toledo.

Toledo is 18-11, including 7-5 on the road, while Miami Ohio is 15-14 overall, including 9-4 at home.

The Rockets broke a two-game slide with an 85-79 win at Buffalo, but it was their third straight ATS loss. That however is very significant to note, because Toledo is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row.

It beat Miami Ohio 68-64 back on January 5th, but it did not come close to covering the 11.5-point spread.

Tonight's spread is much more manageable here, despite being on the road.

Miami Ohio has won three straight, both SU and ATS after a 52-37 victory at EMU last time out. Note though that the RedHawks are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row.

EMU is 12-17. Bowling Green is 17-12. CMU is 16-13. I respect what Miami Ohio has done over the last three weeks, but I think this is just a bad matchup for the home side.

Look for TOLEDO to comfortably pull away for the win and cover here on Tuesday night.

Good luck, NP