AAA's VERY EARLY WEST-CONF ATS BEATDOWN!
(NBA) Golden State vs. Dallas,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -105.00 Dallas (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* ATS BEATDOWN on the Dallas Mavericks.

Both of these teams are surging, but I think the home side comes to play today and finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. The Warriors haven't lost in more than a month, but I think will be in for a big surprise today as they face the league's highest scoring team on its own floor. It's not too hard to imagine Golden State coming in a bit complacent here, it's won 14 straight by an average of 13.3 points, most recently pulling away for a 105-93 victory over Houston on Wednesday. Golden State has been getting the job done with tough defensive play, but Dallas is among the NBA's best in field-goal shooting at 48.2 percent and averages a league-best 110.5 points. Dallas also comes in with considerable momentum, it's gone 7-2 SU in its last nine and has scored at least 105 in nine straight overall. And to say this is a "revenge" game for the home side would be an understatement I think as Golden State would win the final three meetings between the teams last year. Also note that many of the Mavericks best players are playing much better at home than compared to the road, Montae Ellis is shooting 51.3 percent in Dallas compared to 43.0 percent away from friendly confines (not surprisingly, the Mavs are averaging 115.5 points on their own court to lead the league). Also Dirk Nowitzki has been much better at home where he's averaging 20.8 points on 56.3 percent shooting. Note that Golden State also comes in with some injuries, David Lee remains out with a hamstring issue, so too does Andrew Bogut with a knee issue. As good as Golden State has been this year for bettors, note that it is in fact 0-1 ATS this season as a road dog of 3.5 points or less, and note that Dallas is 16-12 ATS in its last 28 when playing with two or more days of rest. In my opinion, all signs do indeed point to the MAVERICKS as the sharp move here.

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