AAA's 10* *Lions/Pacers* BLOCKBUSTER (HUGE NFL RUN CONT!)
(NFL) Detroit vs. Green Bay,
Point Spread: -7.00 | -120.00 Green Bay (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Green Bay Packers.

It all comes down to this. The winner of this game will clinch the NFC North with even more positive implications on the line as well. I simply can't understate how important I think that the "home field advantage" will be today, and believe this factor will in the end prove to be the difference in the outcome of this contest. The Packers plus-15 turnover differential is the best in the league and their 11 turnovers committed could be the team's best mark since 1941. And if history is any precedence, then Green Bay has to be loving its chances here, the Pack have won 22 consecutive regular-season home games vs. the Lions. Detroit will be playing in the postseason regardless of the outcome and with that satisfying fact at the back of its collective thoughts, I think the visitors come out a bit flat here. Note that this is also a revenge game for Green Bay after it fell 19-7 in Detroit on September 21st. And as good as the Lions defense has been to this point of the season, I think the unit runs into an absolute buzzsaw today as Green Bay is 7-0 at home so far, averaging a whopping 41.1 points and 425.6 yards per game in the process. QB Aaron Rodgers has been unstoppable in front of the home town crowd, but now the dynamic pivot also has a run game to lean on, the unit has rushed for 110 yards or more in nine of the Packers last ten games, including in seven straight. And those facts don't bode well for a Detroit offense which ranks 20th overall in total offense on the road, QB Matt Stafford has posted a poor 72.8 rating away from friendly confines. Also note that Stafford will be without the services of center Dominic Raiola because of a one game suspension, meaning that rookie Travis Swanson will hand off to him, the first time in his career that he'll be taking snaps from someone else in a regular-season contest. After taking all of the above situational factors into consideration, in my opinion all signs do indeed point to the PACKERS as the savvy move in this particular matchup.

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