AAA's 10* REVENGE ROUT!
(NCAAB) Massachusetts vs. Fordham,
Point Spread: 6.00 | -106.00 Fordham (Home)
Result: Push
This is a 10* REVENGE ROUT on Fordham.

For a number of different reasons (mainly strong trend based ones), I look for the home side to at the very least keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. While the Minutemen are 3-1 in A-10 play this year, UMass is just 3-5 on the road overall. Note that four of the last five between these school's have been decided by four points or less. This is also a double revenge spot for the home side after losing both games to UMass last season. But as mentioned off the top, for the most part I am basing this selection on strong trend based reasons, as note that Massachusetts is already a poor 1-2 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less and just 12-14 ATS in its last 26 off a win vs. a conference rival. And note that Fordham is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range and 16-12 ATS in its last 28 after three or more consecutive SU losses. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to FORDHAM as the savvy move in this one.

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