PREMIUM
AAA's AFTERNOON "ASSASSIN!" (+$4,362 Y-T-D NCAAB!)
(NCAAB) Illinois State vs. Southern Illinois,
Point Spread: 5.50 | -110.00 Southern Illinois (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 5.50 | -110.00 Southern Illinois (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Southern Illinois.
While I do believe the outright win isn't out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect the home side to at the very least sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I feel to be a healthy amount of points afforded to it in this one. For the most part, I'm basing this selection on strong trend based reasons. I played the Redbirds as my Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Tuesday, but I think the team comes up short here, it's a natural letdown spot for Illinois State after winning three-straight. Conversely, there's no question in my mind that the 9-15 Salukis will be the "hungrier" team today, they're just 2-9 in the MVC, most recently coming off a setback vs. Drake. But as mentioned off the top, this play is primarily based on strong trend based reasons, as note that the Redbirds are just 1-4 ATS vs. teams with losing records this year, while Southern Illinois is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. In my opinion, all signs do indeed point to the SALUKIS as the savvy move in this one.
AAA Sports
While I do believe the outright win isn't out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect the home side to at the very least sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I feel to be a healthy amount of points afforded to it in this one. For the most part, I'm basing this selection on strong trend based reasons. I played the Redbirds as my Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Tuesday, but I think the team comes up short here, it's a natural letdown spot for Illinois State after winning three-straight. Conversely, there's no question in my mind that the 9-15 Salukis will be the "hungrier" team today, they're just 2-9 in the MVC, most recently coming off a setback vs. Drake. But as mentioned off the top, this play is primarily based on strong trend based reasons, as note that the Redbirds are just 1-4 ATS vs. teams with losing records this year, while Southern Illinois is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. In my opinion, all signs do indeed point to the SALUKIS as the savvy move in this one.
AAA Sports
