AAA's 10* BIG 12 GAME OF YEAR (5-0 +$5,000 NCAAB "GOY" RUN!)
(NCAAB) Baylor vs. Texas,
Point Spread: -2.50 | -105.00 Texas (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Texas.

I think the home side will find a way to get the job done at the end of the night and expect it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Baylor has won four straight and I think will come in a bit flat footed today as it faces the revenge minded Longhorns. Conversely, Texas has lost four straight and there's no question in my mind that it will be the "hungrier" team. Baylor defeated the Longhorns 83-60 at home on January 31st, holding Texas to just 38.6 percent shooting. Note though, the Bears have dropped two straight in Texas; also note that the Longhorns last four defeats have come by eight points or fewer, with three on the road (and note, all four games were against ranked opponents). Most recently Texas is coming off a 69-64 loss at No. 8 Kansas: "We've had some close, tough losses as of late but we still trust the system," guard Demarcus Holland assessed after the Jayhawks setback. "We are still excited to play our way into the tournament and I'm excited for our last two home games." Note that Baylor is already 0-2 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest and just 4-5 ATS when playing the role of underdog. And note that Texas is 2-1 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU losses and 13-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. In my opinion the LONGHORNS definitely have enough situational/motivational and strong trend based factors working in their favor to pull the trigger on a play of this magnitude.

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