AAA's EARLY 10* *Florida/Kentucky* BLOCKBUSTER (+$7,578 NCAAB RUN!)
(NCAAB) Florida vs. Kentucky,
Point Spread: 16.00 | -105.00 Florida (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Florida.

While I won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset here, I do think that the Gators will come in highly motivated today and expect the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Kentucky is on the verge of its first unbeaten regular season ever, so the pressure is on the home side to deliver the goods. Florida would obviously love nothing more than to play spoiler, there's no question in my mind that the home side is going to get the Gators' best shot today. Kentucky got all it could handle in last month's win in Gainseville; the Wildcats have looked liked World beaters at times and pretty pedestrian in others all year and have clearly over achieved this season. One player to keep your eyes on today is Florida leading scorer Michael Frazier, who is averaging 13.2 PPG. There's a lot of pressure on the home side today, while conversely, the visitors have nothing to lose. I think this definitely works in our favor. Note that Florida is 8-4 ATS this year vs. good defensive teams that allow 64 points or less per contest and 4-2 ATS when playing the role of underdog. And note that Kentucky is just 8-9 ATS this year as a home favorite of 12 points or more and just 7-9 ATS vs. conference opponents. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to FLORIDA as the savvy move in this contest.

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