AAA's 10* NON-CONF. TOTAL OF YEAR (96-73 +$14,276 Y-T-D NBA!)
(NBA) Washington vs. Golden State,
Total: 204.50 | 103.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Washington Wizards and the Golden State Warriors.

This is a great situational play and it's also backed by some strong O/U trends, when the smoke does finally clear at the end of the night, I expect this total to sneak below the posted number. Washington has a 9.5 game lead over ninth-place Boston, but has been very inconsistent over the last month and a half, it's most recently coming off back to back losses, a setback at the Clippers on Friday before last night's 109-86 debacle at Sacramento. Normally a strength, it's been the Wizard's defensive play which has let them down during the slide, they'd allow LA to shoot 52.3 percent, while allowing the Kings to shoot 50.6: "If we don't come out more focused on the defensive end than we have the last two games, then we don't have a chance," coach Randy Wittman said. "That's pretty much it ... We were doing things from an X and O standpoint that we never even talked about doing for a defensive situation. That's a lack of focus." So is it time to panic if you're a Wizards fan, your team has just given up 111.0 PPG over its last two while also dropping 11 of its last 13 on the road? Clearly Washington will have to play at its best on the defensive end tonight if it has any shot at bouncing back in the second game of the back to back and against the high-flying Warriors (note though, the Wizards had held opponents to under 100 points in 11 straight games before the recent two-game "brain fart"). Golden State has won 12 straight at home and is 33-2 there overall this season. The Warriors have won five in a row, but the last time these teams played at Oracle Arena back on January 28th, 2014, Washington would leave with an impressive 88-85 victory for its only win in the last eight meetings. I think we'll see a similar combined result here. Note that the Wizards have seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of 14 this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and in 23 of 37 vs. poor defensive teams that allow 99-plus points per contest. And note that Golden State has seen the total stay below the posted number in 18 of 34 after three or more consecutive SU victories and in 15 of 27 vs. teams with winning records. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

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