AAA's VERY EARLY 10* *MSU/Louisville* BLOCKBUSTER!
(NCAAB) Michigan State vs. Louisville,
Point Spread: -2.50 | -105.00 Michigan State (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Michigan State.

For a number of different reasons, I expect MSU to find a way to get the job done at the end of the afternoon and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. These two teams have long histories of excellence in this tournament and coaches Tom Izzo and Rick Pitino are obviously considered a "wash" today. As we can tell by the spread, the oddsmakers think these teams are pretty evenly matched and that's the case for sure, they're similar in many ways and match-up well against each other as well. So where's the advantage? I think MSU has a certain toughness that Louisville lacks, it's a factor that can't be overlooked in my opinion. Also note that the Spartans are 14-8 ATS in their last 22 vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest and 17-11 ATS this year when playing the role of favorite. And note that Louisville is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 vs. good defensive teams that allow 64 points or less per contest. I think this line should be a few points higher, great value with MICHIGAN STATE.

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