AAA's EARLY 10* NON-CONF. TOTAL "ASSASSIN!" (100% RUN w/ NFL 10*'s L2 Sunday!)
(NFL) NY Giants vs. Buffalo,
Total: 46.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the New York Giants and the Buffalo Bills.

We mainly base our Over/Under picks on situations and this particular contest definitely falls into our wheel house, so let's break it down: after back-to-back heartbreaking defeats because of poor play calling, the Giants finally got off the schneid with a convincing 32-21 victory over the Redskins last week. Two of New York's three games have flown above the number and the last time the G-Men faced the Bills the total also sailed above the posted number. That was back in 2011 though, so it is completely irrelevant to this selection, but it's still noteworthy as Buffalo comes to town sitting at 2-1 overall and has seen its last two contests sail well above the number, including last week's 41-14 destruction at Miami. Suffice it to say, this is a big game for both teams. New York looked much better defensively last week and we expect the visitors to employ the same game-plan today, Tyrod Taylor is going to have his hands full vs. the Giants' rejuvenated pass rush this afternoon. And other than the loss to the Patriots, the Bills' strength this year has clearly been their tight defensive play, the unit will be looking for another productive day vs. this oft-maligned New York offensive line. Also note that from an Over/Under trend based stand point, this play is about as strong as you could possibly ask for as the Giants have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last 11 vs. teams with winning records, while Buffalo has seen the total stay below the posted number in seven of its last 12 as a favorite and 11 of its last 16 in front of the home town crowd. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

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