AAA's 10* Thursday Night Conf. USA "ASSASSIN!" (+$17K NCAAF RUN!)
(NCAAF) Western Kentucky vs. North Texas,
Point Spread: 34.00 | -110.00 North Texas (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* "ASSASSIN" on North Texas.

We watch the lines each week the very second they're released and often jump on one if we think the value is right. Sometimes this works for us and other times it works against us. The latter scenario is the case this week, but regardless, we still love this selection. We're on North Texas at +28. Some/most of you will be able to get +33 or possibly even better by kick-off. WKU's offense is firing on all cylinders, but we feel this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for the visitors and look for this complacency to ultimately prove to be the difference in the end. The Mean Green come in under the direction of interim coach Mike Canales after UNT cut ties with Dan McCarney following a 66-7 home loss to FCS top-25 team Portland State; coaching changes in the middle of the season can rally a team and that's exactly what we're expecting here. We look for Brandon Doughty to come out firing, to jump out to an early insurmountable lead and then to take the foot off the gas, leaving the backdoor open just enough for the now motivated home side to sneak through down the stretch: "We are going to try to bring some excitement and fun back," Canales said. So not only does this set up as a letdown spot for the visitors in our opinion, but it's also no doubt a classic "look ahead" position as well with a game at LSU next Saturday. We're grabbing the points, play on NORTH TEXAS.

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