AAA's NON-CONF. TOTAL OF MONTH (13-4 w/ 10* NFL L5 Sunday!)
(NFL) Cleveland vs. St. Louis,
Total: 42.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the Cleveland Browns and the St. Louis Rams.

When the smoke clears at the end of this one, we look for this total to sneak below the posted number. St. Louis comes in rested here, it's interesting to note that it's lost outright each of the last four times it's been the favorite, while Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in it last seven as an underdog. Both teams have been playing to some pretty high-scoring affairs this year, but we feel that the conditions are now finally right for a lower-scoring defensive battle. Cleveland should be extra motivated today after the way it lost to Denver last week, falling 26-23 in OT; there were definitely some positives to take away as the Browns actually trailed 10-0 at the half. That said, it's not too hard to imagine Cleveland having a letdown here after playing to three three-point games in a row. The Rams quickly fell behind 14-0 to the Packers two weeks ago, but would then finish the rest of the game 10-10; note though that St. Louis would actually outrush the Pack 191-86, keep your eyes on rookie RB Todd Gurley who racked up 159 yards in the setback. QB Nick Foles continues to struggle though, his four INT's were just too much for the Rams to overcome in the end. Suffice it to say, we can fully expect the home side to concentrate on the run today as to alleviate some of the pressure from their beleaguered pivot (and note, the Browns are ranked dead last in the league vs. the run this year). Note that Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 14 when playing against a team with a losing record, while St. Louis has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of its last 11 when playing the role of favorite. All signs point to a classic, low-scoring "chess match" of a battle, play on the UNDER.

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