AAA's 10* INDEPENDENCE BOWL GAME OF WEEK (100% LAST MONDAY!)
(NCAAF) NC State vs. Vanderbilt,
Point Spread: -5.50 | -106.00 NC State (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on NC State.

REASONING: NC State earned bowl eligibility in its final game of the season. So too did Vanderbilt. The Wolfpack would beat UNC 28-21 in their regular-season finale. The team was paced by RB Matthew Dayes, who had 103 yards rushing and two TD's in the victory over the Tar Heels. In all Hayes would finish with 1,119 rushing yards and ten TD's. Also note that NC State has five receivers collecting at least 400 receiving yards, led by Stephen Louis with 657. The Wolfpack average just 25.5 PPG, ranked 88th overall, but they've been exceptional on the defensive end, allowing just 23.2 PPG, which is ranked 33rd in the country. The Commodores would beat Tennessee 45-34 in their regular season finale. QB Kyle Shurmur had a big day with 416 yards passing and two TD's. RB Ralph Webb is the focal point of the offense though, he finished with 1,172 rushing yards and 12 TD's. These teams are similar in many respects, as note that Vanderbilt averages only 23.5 PPG, while conceding just 22.6 (ranked 28th). Note though that Vanderbilt is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games and only 1-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while NC State is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest. We think the numbers all point to NC STATE as the savvy move in this one.

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