We like the Colorado State Rams to defeat the New Mexico Lobos on Saturday at 5:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

CSU have now won back to back games against a very solid 5-2 SJST team and on the road against Air Force. They will be back at home this weekend where they have a 3-1 record.

New Mexico have played well on offense over these past few weeks and have gotten wins. But, over those three games/wins, they've allowed 122 total points which is 40.66 a game.

The Rams have allowed an average of just 21.5 points per game at home this season.

Colorado State also loves to play against New Mexico. In fact, they've won 12 straight meetings against them while covering versus the spread in ten of them.

New Mexico are just 4-16 SU in their last 20 games vs conference opponents (MWC.)

We believe that Colorado State will slow down the offense of UNM and outscore them quite easily today. Lay the small number.

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