We like the Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers to finish UNDER the total on Saturday at 7:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Miami doesn't score very many points and has one of the top defenses in the NBA.

The Heat and the 76ers have seen the total stay UNDER in back-to-back games between the two teams.

Philadelphia is also on the lower side when it comes to scoring points. It's defense isn't great, but it should be able to hold Miami to a minimum.

The 76ers have seen 12 of their 21 home games against opponents within the Eastern Conference this season.

They haven't scored more than 110 in six straight games against the Heat.

We think that this one stays UNDER the number.

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